منابع مشابه
Safe Probability
We formalize the idea of probability distributions that lead to reliable predictions about some, but not all aspects of a domain. The resulting notion of ‘safety’ provides a fresh perspective on foundational issues in statistics, providing amiddle ground between imprecise probability andmultiple-priormodels on the one hand and strictly Bayesian approaches on the other. It also allows us to form...
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The concept of safe manipulation has recently been introduced by Slinko and White. We show how to compute the asymptotic probability that a safe manipulation exists for a given scoring rule under the uniform distribution on voting situations (the socalled Impartial Anonymous Culture). The technique used is computation of volumes of convex polytopes. We present explicit numerical results in the ...
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Updating probabilities by conditioning can lead to bad predictions, unless one explicitly takes into account the mechanisms that determine (1) what is observed and (2) what has to be predicted. Analogous to the observation-CAR (coarsening at random) condition, used in existing analyses of (1), we propose a new prediction task-CAR condition to analyze (2). We redefine conditioning so that it rem...
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Introduction: Tonsillectomy is one of the most common procedures performed by Ear, Nose, and Throat surgeon. Usually, the procedure is carried out as an inpatient surgery. With the increasing need to reduce healthcare costs, spare precious hospital beds, and shorten elective surgery lists, there is currently a trend towards performing tonsillectomy on a daycare basis. Materials and Methods: A...
متن کاملEstimating Probability of Collision for Safe Planning under Gaussian Motion and Sensing Uncertainty
We present a fast, analytical method for estimating the probability of collision of a motion plan for a mobile robot operating under the assumptions of Gaussian motion and sensing uncertainty. Estimating the probability of collision is an integral step in many algorithms for motion planning under uncertainty and is crucial for characterizing the safety of motion plans. Our method computes an ac...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0378-3758
DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2017.09.014